From Baku with Goals: Qarabag Ready to Deliver Ajax Another European Nightmare

December 9, 2025 10:30 PM
Soccer Genius
Betting Tips
2 min read
Qarabag continue to dominate domestically, securing yet another league title in the spring and gradually pulling clear of their competitors this season as well. Ajax, on the other hand, were close to winning the Eredivisie last season but collapsed at the decisive moment, allowing PSV to retain the title. Francesco Farioli left after that failure, and under John Heitinga, the new season has spiraled into complete disappointment.
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Qarabag vs Ajax: Champions League Main Round Matchday 6
Match Date: December 10, 2025
Local Time (Baku): 21:45

Qarabag vs Ajax: Match Overview
Qarabag continue to dominate domestically, securing yet another league title in the spring and gradually pulling clear of their competitors this season as well. Ajax, on the other hand, were close to winning the Eredivisie last season but collapsed at the decisive moment, allowing PSV to retain the title. Francesco Farioli left after that failure, and under John Heitinga, the new season has spiraled into complete disappointment.

Our Prediction for Qarabag vs Ajax
For only the second time in their history, Qarabag successfully passed the Champions League qualification stage. They eliminated Shelbourne, Shkëndija-79, and Ferencváros. Even more impressively, they opened the main stage with victories over Benfica and Copenhagen. While they haven’t matched those highs since, after defeats to Atletico and Napoli, Qarabag earned a valuable 2-2 draw against Chelsea.

Ajax, meanwhile, are experiencing one of the worst European campaigns in their history. They have scored only once—against Chelsea, where they were still thrashed 1-5. In matches against Inter, Marseille, Galatasaray, and Benfica, Ajax lost every game without scoring a single goal.

Qarabag vs Ajax: Key Stats and Trends
• Qarabag have lost two of their last three Champions League matches
• Including the summer qualifiers, they average 2.09 goals scored and 1.27 conceded
• Ajax have lost all their matches in the tournament
• The Dutch club has a disastrous average: 0.2 goals scored and 3.2 conceded per game

Possible Starting Lineups
Qarabag (probable): Kochalski – Jafarguliyev, Medina, Mustafazade, Mateus – Jankovic, Bicalho, Addai, Zoubir, Andrade – Duran

Ajax (probable): Jaros – Wijndal, Baas, Sutalo, Regeer – Godts, Itakura, Taylor, Klaassen, Bonida – Weghorst

Previous Meetings: Qarabag vs Ajax
The teams met just over a year ago, in October 2024, in the Europa League. Ajax won convincingly, 3-0.

Free Prediction for Qarabag vs Ajax
Ajax are extremely weak this season, especially in European competition. Against an opponent in such form, and especially at home, the logical choice is Qarabag with a 0 handicap.

Score Prediction
Qarabag 2–0 Ajax

Tags

Qarabag vs Ajax
Published: December 9, 2025 at 2:17 PM

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