Fiorentina are currently trapped in the relegation zone, sitting 18th in Serie A and under mounting pressure. Their recent form has been uninspiring, with just two wins from the last six matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). At home, results have been mixed, as Fiorentina recorded three wins, one draw and two defeats across their last six outings. Offensively, they rely on Moise Kean and Albert Guðmundsson, but productivity remains an issue, averaging only 1.05 goals per league match.
Defensive problems have been even more damaging. Fiorentina concede an average of 1.58 goals per game, ranking as the league’s second-worst defense. Injury concerns further weaken their chances, with key players such as Edin Džeko and Tariq Lamptey sidelined, significantly reducing squad depth and stability.
AC Milan, by contrast, are firmly established in the title race. Sitting second in the table, the Rossoneri have shown consistent form, posting three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last six matches. Their away performances have also been solid, with three wins from the last six road games.
Milan’s attacking unit, led by Rafael Leão and Christian Pulisic, averages 1.61 goals per game—the second-best offensive record in Serie A. Defensively, Malick Thiaw and Fikayo Tomori provide solidity in front of goalkeeper Mike Maignan, whose shot-stopping has helped limit Milan to just 0.78 goals conceded per match. Despite some injury issues, Milan’s overall quality remains far superior.
Match Outlook:
Head-to-head history strongly favors AC Milan, who have won six of the last ten meetings, including a 2–1 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Fiorentina’s home advantage is unlikely to compensate for their defensive frailties and injury-hit squad. Milan are expected to dominate possession, exploit wide areas, and rely on individual brilliance to decide the contest.
Given the clear gap in form, efficiency and squad strength, AC Milan are well placed to claim a comfortable away victory.
Prediction: AC Milan to win
Recommendation: Away Win
