Paris FC vs Rennes Prediction – Ligue 1 Round 12 Preview (November 7, 2025)
Match Overview
In the 12th round of Ligue 1, newly promoted Paris FC will host Rennes in a mid-table clash at Stade Charléty. Both sides have shown flashes of quality in recent weeks, and this matchup promises to be an open, entertaining affair as they continue their pursuit of consistency in France’s top flight.
Team Form and Analysis
Paris FC
After years of trying, Paris FC finally achieved promotion to Ligue 1 last season. Despite their limited experience at this level, the capital club is performing above expectations, staying above the relegation zone thanks to several impressive results.
Their last week was particularly noteworthy: a thrilling 3–3 draw with Lyon followed by a 2–1 victory over Monaco. These results highlighted their attacking intent and growing confidence against stronger opposition.
Paris FC are averaging 1.64 goals scored and 1.82 goals conceded per game — high numbers that reflect both their offensive style and defensive vulnerabilities.
Recent Form (all competitions): W–D–L–D–W
Home Record: Improving, unbeaten in their last two home matches.
Rennes
After struggling through a transitional season in 2024–25, Rennes look more balanced under Habib Beye, who guided them to a respectable 12th-place finish last year. However, inconsistency remains a theme.
Rennes have drawn six of their last nine Ligue 1 games — a sign of resilience but also a lack of cutting edge in tight matches. That said, their recent 4–1 demolition of Strasbourg showed a glimpse of their attacking potential, with Breel Embolo leading the line effectively.
This season, Rennes average 1.64 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per match, suggesting an equilibrium between attack and defense but not much excitement.
Recent Form: W–D–L–D–D
Away Record: Mixed — they’ve scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Key Statistics and Trends
Paris FC are unbeaten in their last two matches.
73% of Paris FC’s games feature both teams scoring, with an average of 3.45 total goals per game.
Rennes have drawn 6 of their last 9 matches.
73% of Rennes’ matches end with both teams scoring, averaging 3.18 goals per game.
This will be the first-ever meeting between the two sides.
Probable Lineups
Paris FC (4-2-3-1):
N’Kambadio – De Smet, M’Bow, Chergui, Traoré – Marchetti, Le-Melou – Simon, Maxime Lopez, Kebbal – Krasso
Rennes (3-5-2):
Samba – Rouault, Jaquet, Seydou – Merlin, Fofana, Rongier, Camara, Blas – Embolo, Lepaul
Betfair Market Index (Implied Probability)
Outcome | Betfair Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
Paris FC Win | 2.65 | 38% |
Draw | 3.30 | 30% |
Rennes Win | 2.70 | 37% |
Over 2.5 Goals | 1.73 | 58% |
Both Teams to Score – Yes | 1.76 | 57% |
Market sentiment shows a near-even split between the teams — suggesting a competitive, goal-filled match is expected.
Expert Prediction
Both sides are in positive attacking form and have been involved in high-scoring encounters recently. Paris FC’s home energy and Rennes’ fluid offense under Beye make the “Over 2.5 Goals” market highly appealing.
✅ Prediction: Over 2.5 Total Goals – 1.73
Alternative Bet: Both Teams to Score – Yes (1.76)
Predicted Score: Paris FC 2–2 Rennes
