Vélez Sarsfield currently sits 5th in the league standings with 46 points from 12 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses — a strong overall performance. The team has shown notable improvement on both ends of the pitch, especially in attack. Their recent form has been exceptional, riding a five-match winning streak. In their most recent outing, they claimed an impressive 2–1 away victory over River Plate.
The defending champions, meanwhile, have endured a disappointing season. With 10 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, they find themselves 15th in the table with 35 points. However, their form has slightly improved of late — 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Their latest 3–1 home win over Atlético Tucumán showcased renewed attacking fluency and better creativity in the final third.
In their last three head-to-head meetings, Vélez Sarsfield and their opponents have produced balanced results — one win, one draw, and one loss each. From a squad perspective, Liniers side faces the absence of two key defenders, which will further weaken an already fragile backline. Vélez Sarsfield, by contrast, misses only one rotation player, maintaining an otherwise full-strength lineup.
The Asian handicap market lists Vélez Sarsfield as a -0.5 favorite, signaling market confidence in an away victory. However, when analyzing both teams’ current forms, squad situations, and momentum, Vélez may struggle to justify the handicap. A draw or even a narrow defeat cannot be ruled out.
Prediction: Handicap Win (Home +0.5 ✅)
Expected Score: Defending Champions 1–1 Vélez Sarsfield
