Last season, Millwall performed fairly well, finishing eighth in the Championship, though they narrowly missed out on the promotion playoffs by just two points. This season, however, their start has been somewhat inconsistent. After five rounds, Millwall hold 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, sitting 16th in the table.
In recent outings, Millwall were eliminated from the EFL Cup in midweek after a 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace in regulation, eventually losing 2-4 on penalties. In league play, their form has also been shaky. Their latest league match saw them scrape a 1-1 draw away to 10-man Charlton, which means Millwall are winless in their last two league games (1 draw, 1 loss). Still, head-to-head history paints a more positive picture: Millwall have beaten Watford 4 times in their last 6 encounters, losing only once, giving them a clear psychological advantage.
Watford, meanwhile, endured a disappointing campaign last season, finishing 14th, firmly in the bottom half of the table. Their struggles have continued this season, as they’ve picked up just 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats from their first five matches, placing them 20th. Most recently, they lost 0-1 at home to Blackburn, extending their winless run to three league matches (2 draws, 1 loss). Defensive issues have been particularly concerning, with Watford conceding in every game during this run.
Conclusion:
Both teams have had their share of inconsistencies in the early stages of the campaign, but Millwall clearly hold the upper hand in recent head-to-head battles. Coupled with home advantage, they look better placed to take control of this fixture. Confidence and history suggest Millwall have what it takes to grab all three points.
Recommendation: Millwall Win
