Survival Showdown in the Bundesliga — Can St. Pauli Shock Gladbach Again?

March 12, 2026 11:01 PM
Soccer Genius
Betting Tips
3 min read
Given the visitors’ momentum and Gladbach’s defensive weaknesses, St. Pauli have a good chance to take points from this encounter.
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In the 26th round of the German Bundesliga, Borussia Mönchengladbach will face FC St. Pauli on March 13, 2026 (local time). This match could play a crucial role in the ongoing battle to avoid relegation.

Team News and Expert Analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach
The club from Mönchengladbach finished 10th in the Bundesliga last season with 45 points. However, the new campaign began poorly, which eventually led to the dismissal of head coach Gerardo Seoane.

Former player Eugen Polanski was appointed as the replacement, but the change only produced a short-term improvement. Since mid-December, the team has recorded just one victory. After securing a win over Union Berlin, they were expectedly overwhelmed in their next match, suffering a heavy defeat against Bayern Munich.

Offensively, Tabakovic and his teammates average 1.12 goals per game, but defensively they struggle, conceding around 1.72 goals per match.

St. Pauli
The Hamburg-based club returned to the Bundesliga in 2024 after a long absence. In their first season back in the top flight, they collected 32 points, which was enough to finish 14th and avoid relegation.

At the start of the current campaign, it appeared that St. Pauli might not survive this time. However, the team improved significantly in February, collecting several important victories that revived their hopes. They defeated TSG Hoffenheim and managed a solid 0–0 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt.

Statistically, St. Pauli score an average of 0.92 goals per match while conceding 1.60, which is slightly better defensively than their direct rival.

Head-to-Head Record

The two sides have faced each other four times in official competitions. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won three matches and drawn one.

However, the most recent encounter brought a surprise. In December, St. Pauli defeated Gladbach 2–1 away from home in a cup match.

Key Statistics and Trends

Borussia Mönchengladbach have won only two of their last twelve matches.

40% of Gladbach’s games end with both teams scoring, with an average of 2.84 total goals per match.

St. Pauli have won three of their last five matches.

52% of St. Pauli’s matches end with both teams scoring, and their games average 2.52 goals.

Probable Starting Lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach (1-3-5-2)
Nicolas
Dicks, Elvedi, Takai
Ulrich, Bolin, Engelhardt, Zander, Scally
Onora, Tabakovic

Reintz is suspended after receiving a red card, while Gak and Takai are currently injured.

St. Pauli (1-3-6-1)
Vasilj
Mets, Wahl, Ando
Pyrka, Fujita, Sinani, Irvine, Smith, Saliakas
Karss

Jones and Rasmussen remain sidelined due to injuries.

Match Prediction

Both teams are under significant pressure as they fight to stay in the Bundesliga. Borussia Mönchengladbach have struggled for consistency throughout the season, while St. Pauli have recently shown signs of improvement and stronger form.

Given the visitors’ momentum and Gladbach’s defensive weaknesses, St. Pauli have a good chance to take points from this encounter.

Predicted Score
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 St. Pauli

Tags

Mönchengladbach vs St. Pauli
Published: March 12, 2026 at 2:59 PM

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