Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction
La Liga Round 19
Match Date: January 10, 2026 (Local Time, Spain)
Venue: Estadio de la Cerámica
La Liga Round 19 features Villarreal hosting Alaves at Estadio de la Cerámica. The Yellow Submarine are eager to gather momentum after the winter break as they continue pushing for the highest possible league finish, while Alaves focus on maintaining a safe distance from the relegation zone.
Our Prediction for Villarreal vs Alaves
Villarreal’s recent seasons have been marked by fluctuation. After missing out on European qualification two years ago, the club produced a strong spring run last season, climbing to fifth place and earning a return to the Champions League. That continental campaign, however, ended in near-total disappointment. Domestic cup action also brought frustration, as Villarreal were eliminated by Racing in December.
Despite those setbacks, La Liga form has been far more encouraging. The Yellow Submarine even flirted with third place during the autumn. Although they closed 2025 with a defeat, the post-break restart was convincing, with a solid 3–1 win over Elche that restored confidence and attacking sharpness.
Alaves, meanwhile, continue to follow a familiar pattern. Last season’s objective—survival—was achieved with a fifteenth-place finish and 42 points, secured on tiebreakers. The current campaign looks similar: losses are frequent, but steady point accumulation keeps them clear of immediate danger. Their January outing against Oviedo ended in a 1–1 draw, reflecting a team that competes but rarely dominates.
Statistically, Villarreal are among the more efficient sides in the league. Ayoze Pérez and his teammates average two goals per match while conceding just 0.94. Alaves operate at a much lower attacking output, scoring only 0.83 goals per game and conceding 1.17 on average.
Villarreal vs Alaves Key Stats and Trends
Villarreal lost three consecutive matches before their most recent victory.
47% of Villarreal’s league matches feature goals from both teams, with an average total of 2.94 goals.
Alaves have won three of their last six matches, mostly in cup competitions.
50% of Alaves’ matches see both teams score, with an average total of 2.0 goals.
Villarreal vs Alaves Probable Starting Lineups
Villarreal (probable lineup):
Junior – S. Cardona, Veiga, Marin, Navarro – Moleiro, Parejo, Comesaña, Buchanan – Ayoze Perez, Pepe
Alaves (probable lineup):
Sivera – Parada, Pacheco, Tenaglia, Castro – Rebbach, Antonio Blanco, Denis Suarez, Ibanez, Caleb – Toni Martinez
Previous Matches: Villarreal vs Alaves
The recent head-to-head record is perfectly balanced. Across the last eight meetings, both teams have recorded three wins each. Notably, last season saw clean-sheet victories for both sides, underlining how tactical discipline often defines this matchup.
Odds Analysis
Market | Selection | Average Odds |
|---|---|---|
Match Result | Villarreal Win | 1.45 |
Asian Handicap | Villarreal -1 | 1.78 |
Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.70 |
Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.80 |
Free Prediction for Villarreal vs Alaves
There are few convincing arguments in favor of the visitors. Villarreal’s superior attacking output, home advantage, and stronger squad depth should allow them to control the match tempo. If the hosts find an early breakthrough, Alaves may struggle to respond.
Prediction: Villarreal to win with a -1 handicap
Recommended Odds: 1.78
