Inter March On! Can Bologna Pull Off a Shocking Super Cup Upset?

December 18, 2025 9:01 PM
Soccer Genius
Betting Tips
3 min read
The Italian Super Cup semifinal will see Bologna host Inter at the “Renato Dall’Ara” stadium. While Inter are clear favorites, Bologna have shown strong form and will aim to make an impact as the nominal hosts.
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Bologna vs Inter: Italian Super Cup Semifinal Preview
Match Date & Time: December 19, 2025, 20:00 CET

The Italian Super Cup semifinal will see Bologna host Inter at the “Renato Dall’Ara” stadium. While Inter are clear favorites, Bologna have shown strong form and will aim to make an impact as the nominal hosts.

Our Prediction for Bologna vs Inter

Bologna, under Thiago Motta, finished fifth two seasons ago. However, their Champions League debut was disappointing, and in Serie A they struggled to ninth place. Their season was brightened by a domestic cup victory, securing a rare trophy and entry into the Europa League, where they are performing well, including an away win against Celta Vigo.

In the ongoing cup campaign, they eliminated Parma and have made a strong climb in Serie A, putting themselves back in the race for the top positions. Still, recent results include a draw with Lazio and a loss to Juventus, showing some inconsistencies.

Inter, after winning the 2024 Scudetto, failed to secure any silverware last season. Simone Inzaghi’s tenure ended with a 0-5 defeat to PSV in the Champions League final. This season, Inter progressed comfortably through the group stage but lost their last group match at home to Liverpool.

In domestic competitions, Inter have been dominant, including a 5-1 win over Venezia in the Coppa Italia round of 16. Under Chivu, they are maintaining their position among Serie A title contenders. After a 2-1 win over Genoa, they even emerged as sole leaders in the league standings.

Statistically, Bologna scores an average of 1.53 goals per game while conceding 0.87. Inter are more prolific offensively, averaging 2.27 goals scored per match and 0.93 conceded.

Key Stats and Trends

  • Bologna have won one of their last three matches.

  • 40% of Bologna's matches end with both teams scoring; average total goals per match: 2.4

  • Inter have won four of their last five games.

  • 47% of Inter's matches end with both teams scoring; average total goals per match: 3.2

Probable Starting Lineups

Bologna (probable lineup): Ravaglia - Lykogiannis, Lucumi, Heggem, Holm - Sulemana, Ferguson, Fabian, Rowe, Bernardeschi - Dallinga

Inter (probable lineup): Sommer - Bastoni, Acerbi, Akanji - Dimarco, Sučić, Calhanoglu, Barella, Luis Enrique - M. Thuram, Martinez

Previous Meetings

In the last five meetings between Bologna and Inter, each team has recorded one win, highlighting some competitive balance historically, though Inter have been stronger in recent seasons.

Odds Analysis

Bet Type

Bologna

Draw

Inter

Match Result

4.50

3.80

1.65

Both Teams to Score

1.90

1.55

Over 2.5 Goals

1.85

1.50

Free Prediction

Inter’s experience and current form make them the clear favorites. We predict an Inter victory (odds 1.65). However, Bologna’s resilience at home could make it a competitive clash, possibly featuring goals from both sides.

Tags

Bologna vs Inter 2025 Super Cup Preview
Published: December 18, 2025 at 12:55 PM

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